| Author | Parajuli, Bishnu Prasad |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no. TE-95-07 |
| Subject(s) | Transportation--Planning
|
| Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of
Master of Engineering, School of Civil Engineering
|
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Series Statement | Thesis ; no. TE-95-07 |
| Abstract | Two models for travel demand forecasting are formulated based on consumer behavior
theory and considering value of time saving. Techniques for estimation of model parameters are
also illustrated using social trip data. The first model predicts the demand share of each travel
mode from each origin to each destination simultaneously. Second model is total demand model
which predicts the total number of trips generated in a given origin. Combination of these two
models gives the actual number of trips by each mode from each origin to each destination. All
the demand functions include the policy variables such as travel time and travel cost which
facilitate to assess the effect of policy change on travel demand.
Prediction accuracy of models is checked comparing the predicted and observed
demands. Results show that predictions are fairly accurate with high correlation coefficient
between the predicted and observed demands. Sensitivity analysis is carried out. Results show
that demands are highly sensitive to the variables considered in the model.
Predictions and sensitivity's of the said models were compared with those of
conventional models. Results prevailed that proposed models are better that the conventional
one in terms of accuracy and sensitiveness |
| Year | 1996 |
| Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. TE-95-07 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | School of Civil Engineering |
| Department | Department of Civil and Infrastucture Engineering (DCIE) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Transportation Engineering (TE) |
| Chairperson(s) | Morisugi, Hisa; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Fujiwara, Okitsugu;Chen, Jian Shiuh; |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Government of Austria |
| Degree | Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1996 |