| Author | Lorilla, Francis M. |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no. 1133 |
| Subject(s) | Energy consumption--Philippines
|
| Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering of the Asian Institute of Technology, Bangkok, Thailand |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Abstract | Energy planning, a vital subprocess of national development planning, is often based on time series forecasting of the nation\'s energy demand.
The study deviates from this usual procedure. The national
economy is -sectorized into five major groups of energy consumers namely, agriculture, industry, utilities, transportation and services. A dynamic simulation model is then formulated to delineate the
structure of these sectors using two methodologies: System dynamics to allow consideration of relevant feedback loops, interplay of model variables and impact analysis of alternative policies; Input output analysis to delineate intersectoral relationships existing between the major energy markets. The model is then translated into a computer program and run
in a computer to produce two sets of outputs: a standard run
representing the model behavior under 11normal11 conditions and policy test runs representing the policy dominated model behavior. The dynamic results derived from the simulation process provide a framework within which the nation\'s energy consumption demand both on the sectoral and national levels could be examined and studied under various orientations of economic growth. Via computer modelling, a policy based consideration of the complex phenomenon of energy demand has been attained. Within
the context of its own limitations, the model is intended to be
a modest contribution as a tool for energy planning. |
| Year | 1975 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | Student Research Before 1980 |
| Department | Other Field of Studies (No Department) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Thesis (Year <=1979) |
| Chairperson(s) | Pakorn Adulbhan |
| Examination Committee(s) | Kirby, E.Stuart ;Sharif, M. N. |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Government of Germany |
| Degree | Thesis (M. Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1975 |