| Abstract | Built within the system dynamic simulation concept, this research deals with the formulation and structuring of a water-resource model. Within the context of regional growth, this model constitutes the "software" of the overall water-resource development of the Bicol River Basin. Skilled planning and careful management are essential to attain the level of efficiency in water use which will be required now and in the future. However, these efforts are broader in scope, influenced by economic, social and political considerations as well as basic engineering facts. Planning is
complex operation, subject to both economic, social and physical constraints. A water resource planner, however, cannot shirk the planning task if he wishes to satisfy human needs. Thus, this study will serve as a management tool in sensing the responsive behavioral patterns of the dynamic society. This water-resource model comprises five sectors, namely: water supply , irrigation, flood control and hydropower sectors. river flow ,
Each is modelled separately and its complementarities and interrelationships are identified and lumped together to form the overall water model. The
mathematical and logical relationships are expressed in systems semantics with its correspondence in DYNAMO language. Some of system variates are assumed and if one wants to test hi s alternate policies, he may just alter
the assumptions given here whether significant effects would occur. Some of the results and analysis of various simulation runs may not prove healthful to planners as the concept of the optimum program is changing, as men recognize the wisdom, if not the necessity of taking additional factors into consideration. It is hoped, as a by-product, that this research will serve as one of the
necessary bridges between engineers and physical scientists on the left side and economists and economic policy makers on the right side, regarding
the role of water in regional economic development. |
