The dynamics of supply and demand in a market directed economy with application to the Bicol River Basin

AuthorVira Chankong
Call NumberAIT Thesis no. 713
Subject(s)Commodity exchanges
Markets--Philippine Islands--Bicol River Basin
Economics
NoteA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering of the Asian Institute of Technology, Bangkok, Thailand.
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractOne of the major difficulties that seems to plague the success of any commodity production planning or a marketing planning is the long-term fluctuation of commodity price and production. This fluctuation is caused by the \'two coupled negative feedback structure which underlies the dynamics of supply and demand interactions within a market directed economy. The vast complexity added to this basic "two- loops" structure brings about the need for systematic approaches and dynamic planning for -efficient guidance and control of a market system. In this research, a dynamic simulation model characterizing the supply-demand interactions in a commodity market system is developed . using the systems dynamics approach. The Philippines rice market is taken as the particular case study. The model is a possible extension of the Dynamic Commodity Cycle Model (MEADOW, 1970) with three types of marketing channels; government, cooperatives and middleman, incorporated. Import and export are also included. The model is validated and various policies concerning price stabilization, import-export and retail-to-farm price margin are tested The utility of the model is that it can be used either as a mean for testing policies or as a forecasting device.
Year1974
TypeThesis
SchoolStudent Research Before 1980
DepartmentOther Field of Studies (No Department)
Academic Program/FoSThesis (Year <=1979)
Chairperson(s)Drew, Donald R.
DegreeThesis (M. Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1974


Usage Metrics
View Detail6
Read PDF0
Download PDF0