Analysis of risk in high-rise building construction projects in Bangkok using Delphi and Bayesian Belief Networks Model | |
| Author | Thanakiat Singkun |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no.CM-26-08 |
| Subject(s) | Tall building--Risk management--Bangkok--Thailand Delphi method Bayesian statistical decision theory |
| Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Engineering in Construction, Engineering and Infrastructure Management |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Abstract | Due to their complex nature and uncertain conditions, high-rise building projects face numerous risks in both housing and commercial sectors. This thesis provides a systematic investigation of risk in high-rise construction through an integrated methodological framework combining the Delphi technique and Bayesian Belief Networks (BBNs).In the first phase, the Delphi technique is employed to elicit expert knowledge and achieve consensus regarding the identification and evaluation of critical risk factors. Through iterative rounds of structured consultation, a panel of experts contributes to the development of a validated set of critical risks. In the subsequent phase, BBNs are applied to model and identify the interrelationships between these critical risk factors. The BBNs model enables the representation of causal relationships and uncertainty, facilitating a deeper understanding of how risks interact and influence within high-rise projects.Through this study, critical risk elements are determined, the model showing interdependencies between those critical risks are developed, and corresponding actions for handling them are proposed. The research helps clarify important aspects of the field, offers insight into construction project management, and provides a robust analytical framework applicable to high-rise building projects in Bangkok, Thailand. |
| Year | 2026 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering (2026) |
| Department | Other Field of Studies (No Department) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Construction Engineering and Infrastructure Management (CEIM) |
| Chairperson(s) | Santoso, Djoen San; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Krishna, Chaitanya;Kunnawee Kanitpong; |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Royal Thai Government Fellowship;AIT Scholarship; |
| Degree | Thesis (M. Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2026 |
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