Systematic analysis of contractor risk factors in post-earthquake renovation projects in Mandalay, Myanmar

AuthorLatt May Zin Thaw
Call NumberAIT Thesis no.CM-26-13
Subject(s)Natural disasters--Risk management--Mandalay--Myanmar
Constuction industry--Safety measures--Mandalay--Myanmar
Risk management--Mandalay--Myanmar
Delphi method

NoteA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Engineering in Construction, Engineering and Infrastructure Management
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractPolitical instability is causing problems for Myanmar’s construction sector, and the occurrence of the earthquake in March, 2025 further worsened the situation. The purpose of this study is to explore the important risk factors encountered by contractors in post-earthquake renovation projects in Mandalay, Myanmar. A mixed- methods approach was adopted, incorporating a three-round Delphi technique to identify critical risk factors, followed by integrated ISM-MICMAC analysis to examine their interrelationships, hierarchical structure, and driving and dependence power. In addition, expert interviews were undertaken to explore the underlying causes of these risks and mitigation strategies. The findings identify eleven critical risk factors. Among them, the political situation leading to the departure of qualified labor, high transportation cost and poor infrastructure for delivery, and lack of skilled local construction workers are considered as the key driving factors within the system. The results also show that risks are connected, where infrastructural and political problems cause other risks, while resource and financial risks make these problems worse. Based on the findings, this study also explore mitigation for both government and contractors to enhance the resilience and effectiveness of post-earthquake renovation projects. Furthermore, it enhances the comprehension of the interconnections among risk factors, offering practical recommendations for contractors and government to implement sustainable and effective reconstruction.
Year2026
TypeThesis
SchoolFaculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering (2026)
DepartmentOther Field of Studies (No Department)
Academic Program/FoSConstruction Engineering and Infrastructure Management (CEIM)
Chairperson(s)Santoso, Djoen San;
Examination Committee(s)Pal, Indrajit;Avirut Puttiwongrak;
Scholarship Donor(s)AIT Scholarship
DegreeThesis (M. Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2026


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