Assessing high-speed rail accessibility, availability & first-/last-patterns : a case study of Tohoku, Japan

AuthorMohibullah, Md
Call NumberAIT Thesis no.TE-26-05
Subject(s)High speed trains--Japan--Tohoku Region (Japan)
Transportation--Japan--Case studies
NoteA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering in Transportation Engineering
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractThis thesis evaluates how the extension of high-speed rail (HSR) into a geographically peripheral corridor reshapes regional accessibility, using Japan’s Tohoku Shinkansen as a natural policy experiment. The 2010 Hachinohe–Shin-Aomori extension is treated as a quasi experimental intervention and assessed through a multi-indicator accessibility framework comprising service population (SP), number of reachable zones (R), four-hour coverage percentage (CP), and average travel time (ATT). A three-period difference-in-differences (DID) design, estimated on a 27-zone panel constructed from the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) Interregional Travel Survey for 2005, 2010, and 2015, isolates the causal accessibility effect of the extension, while a present-day (2026) multimodal cross-section assembled from public-transport and road travel-time data diagnoses the gap between station-based and first and last-mile accessibility. The results reveal a pattern of mass connectivity without network integration. The extension produced a large, statistically significant service-population gain at the directly treated zone (Aomori) but no measurable diffusion of accessibility benefits beyond it: DID effects are systematically insignificant across four distance buffers and three time-access bands. Geographic centrality is essentially uncorrelated with time-based accessibility (r ≈ −0.01), confirming that the network is highly selective. The 2026 diagnostic shows that first and last mile accessibility is constrained less by trunk-line infrastructure than by feeder connections: mean intermodal connection time is 26.4 minutes against a Japanese best-practice benchmark of 6–15 minutes, and the private car remains the fastest mode on the majority of non-HSR origin–destination pairs. The thesis concludes that the next frontier of accessibility improvement in peripheral Japanese corridors lies in intermodal feeder integration, timetable coordination, coordinated feeder bus services, and demand-responsive transport. And it recommends measurable origin–destination accessibility benchmarks aligned with Japan’s Third National Spatial Strategy.
Year2026
TypeThesis
SchoolFaculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering (2026)
DepartmentOther Field of Studies (No Department)
Academic Program/FoSTransportation Engineering (TRE)
Chairperson(s)Bhatt, Ayushman
Examination Committee(s)Kato, Hironori;Sano, Kazushi;Kunnawee Kanitpong
Scholarship Donor(s)HM Kings, Royal Thai Government Scholarship
DegreeThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2026


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